PinnedI am leaving Twitter, here’s why…Jason Pauley “This isn’t an airport, no need to announce your departure”. This common social media quip is what some of you might be thinking as you roll your eyes about me writing an entire blog post over quitting a social media platform. Particularly someone as insignificant as me, @jaydpauley…Twitter16 min readTwitter16 min read
Nov 11Which NFL teams are going to see a big shift in schedule strength in the second half of the season?by Jason Pauley The 4–5 Raiders started off this season facing quite a few crap teams like the Giants, the Bears and the Patriots. They didn’t have the easiest schedule per opponent DVOA, but they did have the 7th easiest with an average opponent of -5.5% DVOA. But after the…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Sep 1140+ point differential in week one, and what happens next…The Cowboys beat the Giants 40–0 in the opening game, what does history tell us about the rest of the season? — The Cowboys beat the Giants 40–0 in the opening game. This was the 9th biggest week one blowout since the merger, and the 14th biggest in NFL history. I took a look at what happens after such a big week one win/loss. What did these teams do in week two…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Jul 17Analysis of the offensive and defensive ranks for Super Bowl championsby Jason Pauley “Defense wins championships!” — early to mid-2000s “Offense wins championships!” — today “Neither wins championships!” — ’07 and ’11 Giants This analysis shows the regular season rank (PPG) of every Super Bowl winner since the merger. My goal was to see if there were any trends in SB winners being ranked higher on defense or offense. …NFL7 min readNFL7 min read
Jun 10The AR-15 lapel pin, Christmas greetings with guns, and virtue signaling from the rightJason Pauley I own an AR-15. Other than by reading the first few sentences of this article, you would never know it. It is stored, locked up and half disassembled, with the ammunition stored separately. Occasionally for fun I take it to the range on a Saturday, shoot off 60…Guns6 min readGuns6 min read
Apr 8A comparison of Don Hutson, Elroy Hirsch, Charley Hennigan, Jerry Rice, and Calvin Johnson’s record-breaking receiving yard seasons (+ Cooper Kupp’s close call in 2021)Jason Pauley In 2021, Cooper Kupp almost broke the receiving yards record (but didn’t). Along the way to almost breaking the record, most social media threads and conversations were peppered with the caveat that he had 17 games to do it. Calvin Johnson still owns the record with 1,964 in…NFL7 min readNFL7 min read
Jan 16Daniel Jones and Josh Jacobs: First Down KingsJason Pauley Daniel Jones ran for seven first downs against the Vikings in the 2022 Wild Card game. If it seemed like a lot, it is. This was tied for the second most first downs Jones has run for in a game behind the eight he had in his last…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Jan 7Stop supporting the NFL if you want but don’t talk about soccer as the virtuous option. Soccer is also really bad.In light of the recent tragedy regarding Damar Hamlin’s collapse on the field during the Monday night game. One of the recurring sentiments I’m seeing on social media is comparing the Bad NFL to the Good soccer. I’m not going to tell you to remove blame from the NFL. As…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Dec 28, 2022J.J. Watt and Tackles for Loss (career and season rankings)JJ Watt will end his career 2nd all time in Tackles for Loss behind Terrell Suggs. He is only 11 short of the record, but he has played 95 fewer games. Here are the top 10: Note: TFL data only goes back to 1999, so I’m sure guys like Jack…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Dec 18, 2022Is winning close games in the NFL “luck”?Jason Pauley This has been a big season for Pythagoras and his wins. With teams like the Giants earlier in the year and the Vikings all year, who have records that significantly outpace their Pythagorean Wins (expected wins based on point differential), the discussion often becomes about luck vs skill. …NFL5 min readNFL5 min read
