PinnedI am leaving Twitter, here’s why…Jason Pauley “This isn’t an airport, no need to announce your departure”. This common social media quip is what some of you might be thinking as you roll your eyes about me writing an entire blog post over quitting a social media platform. Particularly someone as insignificant as me, @jaydpauley…Twitter16 min readTwitter16 min read
Jan 16Daniel Jones and Josh Jacobs: First Down KingsJason Pauley Daniel Jones ran for seven first downs against the Vikings in the 2022 Wild Card game. If it seemed like a lot, it is. This was tied for the second most first downs Jones has run for in a game behind the eight he had in his last…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Jan 7Stop supporting the NFL if you want but don’t talk about soccer as the virtuous option. Soccer is also really bad.In light of the recent tragedy regarding Damar Hamlin’s collapse on the field during the Monday night game. One of the recurring sentiments I’m seeing on social media is comparing the Bad NFL to the Good soccer. I’m not going to tell you to remove blame from the NFL. As…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Dec 28, 2022J.J. Watt and Tackles for Loss (career and season rankings)JJ Watt will end his career 2nd all time in Tackles for Loss behind Terrell Suggs. He is only 11 short of the record, but he has played 95 fewer games. Here are the top 10: Note: TFL data only goes back to 1999, so I’m sure guys like Jack…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Dec 18, 2022Is winning close games in the NFL “luck”?Jason Pauley This has been a big season for Pythagoras and his wins. With teams like the Giants earlier in the year and the Vikings all year, who have records that significantly outpace their Pythagorean Wins (expected wins based on point differential), the discussion often becomes about luck vs skill. …NFL5 min readNFL5 min read
Nov 26, 2022Analysis of NFL pass-catchers by passer rating when targetedJason Pauley When the ball is on its way to rookie WR George Pickens, the result is a passer rating of 102.2. Essentially Kenny Pickett (passer rating 71.8) becomes Joe Burrow (102.8) when he throws to George Pickens. This post is about that gap…the delta between a team’s overall passer…NFL5 min readNFL5 min read
Sep 20, 2022What does it mean to be the worst 2–0 team ever?by Jason Pauley I saw some chatter this week saying that the Giants might be one of the worst 2–0 teams ever. Their opponents are a combined 0–4, and the Giants have barely beaten both teams. Win over the Titans 21–20 Win over Carolina 19–16 I don’t know, I think…NFL3 min readNFL3 min read
Sep 9, 2022Week-one in the NFL: overreact, underreact, or just react?by Jason Pauley What happens to teams the remainder of the season after a loss or win in week one? I’m convinced, as most of you probably are, that there is nothing magical about week-one. It’s 5.9% of the season, just like week two or week three. And my hunch…NFL4 min readNFL4 min read
Aug 13, 2022In week one of the NFL season, Matt LaFleur will make history. Will he hold on to it?According to Pro Football Reference, it takes 50 career games to qualify for career W-L %. Matt LaFleur has coached 49 games. On September 11th, LaFleur and the Packers kick off their season on the road against the Vikings. Win or lose, he will qualify for all-time W-L rankings. With…NFL2 min readNFL2 min read
May 7, 2022An analysis of the correlation between draft grades and actual productionJason Pauley With the draft ending, the NFL community leaves mock draft season behind and barrels into draft grade season. And we ALL love draft grades. Even the people who hate draft grades love draft grades because it gives them the opportunity to tell us how much they hate draft…NFL Draft10 min readNFL Draft10 min read
