May 7An analysis of the correlation between draft grades and actual productionJason Pauley With the draft ending, the NFL community leaves mock draft season behind and barrels into draft grade season. And we ALL love draft grades. Even the people who hate draft grades love draft grades because it gives them the opportunity to tell us how much they hate draft…NFL Draft10 min read
May 1The real Mr. Irrelevants are not who you think they areJason Pauley At the end of the 2022 NFL draft, with the 262nd pick, Iowa State QB, Brock Purdy joined a select group of players who were drafted last, each famously known as “Mr. Irrelevant”. Mr. Irrelevants are remembered in NFL lore forever. Most of them (64% since 2000) go…NFL6 min read
Mar 26Analyzing NFL team’s injuries and strength of schedule in 2021 to determine potential regression in 2022by Jason Pauley A lot of factors that have a heavy influence on a team’s success are factors that they have less control over than their play on the field and talent on the roster. Perhaps they have some control over some of these things, but injuries, record in close…NFL3 min read
Feb 22An analysis of each team’s total titles (Super Bowl wins and pre-1966 championships) vs expected titles. (Packers +7.2, Browns +4.4, Patriots +3.3…Cardinals -3.6)by Jason Pauley This analysis shows every current team and their expected championships since their entry into the NFL (or AFL, or AAFC, or APFA), their actual championships, and their over/under vs expected. …NFL8 min read
Feb 19Super Bowl wins / Championships by decade (table)by Jason Pauley The table below summarizes the total number of championships by franchise and by decade. The columns to the right list the total number of championships (pre-1966) or Super Bowl wins and the number of decades with at least one SB/Champ. …NFL3 min read
Feb 3Career-ographic data of the 2021 NFL coachesby Jason Pauley I researched and visualized some data on NFL coaching staffs in 2021. …NFL3 min read
Jan 7Here is how Creed Humphrey will make history at 4:30 Eastern Time on January 8thPost #3 in my Fun but Meaningless Data Series On Saturday, January 8th at 4:30 PM Eastern Time, when the Chiefs and Broncos kick-off, history will be made. There are seven potential players set to become the first players in the modern era of football to start 17 games in…NFL3 min read
Dec 31, 2021HOF Monitor Scores for WR: A table to identify finalists, snubs, players trending towards HOF status, etc. (WRs only in this post)by Jason Pauley Pro Football Reference has a metric called Hall of Fame Monitor which they created to predict players’ HOF eligibility (more on HOF monitor at the boom of this post). Like every metric, we can poke holes in it, but no metric is perfect. This can be a…NFL3 min read
Dec 22, 2021Analyzing the impact of close games on a team’s record in the NFLby Jason Pauley Watching Baltimore fail on a couple of 2-point conversions at the end of the game and lose to both Pittsburgh and Green Bay in the last few weeks got me thinking about close games and their impact on a team’s record. What teams have had the most…NFL7 min read
Dec 16, 2021Micah Parsons and the rookie Game-Wrecker Triple Crownby Jason Pauley In his last six games, Micah Parsons has been playing at a level on par with the best defensive players in the NFL (rookie or veteran). From games 8 to 13, Parsons has 9.5 sacks, 10 tackles for a loss, and 16 quarterback hits. …NFL3 min read