Analyzing NFL team’s injuries and strength of schedule in 2021 to determine potential regression in 2022

  • For injuries, I’m using Football Outsiders Adjusted Games Lost (AGL). You can read more about it here.
  • For Strength of Schedule, I’m using Pro Football Reference’s SOS. You can read about it in this blog.

Easy quadrant (bottom left)

  • Average wins 11.0
  • % of teams with a winning record — 100%
  • % in playoffs — 89%

Neutral quadrants (top left and bottom right)

  • Average wins 8.2
  • % of teams with a winning record — 56%
  • % in playoffs — 22%

Difficult quadrant (top right)

  • Average wins 6.9
  • % of teams with a winning record — 41%
  • % in playoffs — 33%
  • Note: The five worst teams (in terms of record) fall into this quadrant, although Houston barely falls in.

--

--

--

Passionate about Analytics (Football, Sports, Marketing, Sales, Demographics) I’m a good analyst striving to be great; a novice writer trying to get better.

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Recommended from Medium

What is Accuracy, Precision, Recall, and F1 score? What is its significance in Machine Learning?

EDA & Data Mining workflow for data science

Machine Learning Models for Mere Mortals

Difference between Reference data and Master data

What is Data Integrity?

Ten from the weekend 04/18: A few interesting reads that I came across

Seeing the collection in new ways — infographics from RMIT’s students

Time series batch processing for outlier detection

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Jason Pauley

Jason Pauley

Passionate about Analytics (Football, Sports, Marketing, Sales, Demographics) I’m a good analyst striving to be great; a novice writer trying to get better.

More from Medium

Data Analysis // Scotland’s Next Striker?

Consistency of Starting 11: A look at Shannon Entropy and Football

Free Football (Soccer) Analysis & Predictions

Turkish Super League 2021–2022 Stats and Analysis